STA257
 Probability & Statistics I-Fall, 2013

Welcome to STA257 . This is an introductory mathematical statistics course with an emphasis on probability.

Necessary background: You must be taking, or have taken and passed, a 2nd year calculus course as well as 2nd year linear algebra. Students not having this background should consider other alternative courses. Please do not attempt this course without the necessary background. With very few exceptions, it is very unwise to do so.

Course Outline: Course outline including marking scheme. Lectures Detailed lectures, relevent text sections, suggested problems, class notes ( scribbles for your convenience only). Not all items covered in class are here. The detailed lectures contain material not covered in class. You are responsible it.You may make an audio recording of the lectures given in class. This may be important as not everything said will be written down.
Instructor Office Hours: After class, e-mail, by appointment. Office=SS5016H, e-mail = philip@utstat.toronto.edu .

Tutorials will begin the 2nd week of classes. Tutorial rooms will be posted the 2nd week on Blackboard.

Special TA office hours will be held before the test and the final exam. Times will be posted on Blackboard.



Test Date
: Wed, Oct 16 from 7-10PM       and      Test Location:  SS2110 and the lecture room. See Blackboard for your room.

Practice test    This should give you a good idea as to what the test will be like. It will be live by 7PM on the Tuesday before the test. Now Live.

Coverage: Roughly lectures 1- 5 as given in class and on the web, the practice test and all suggested problems. In addition please do the following problems.

Extra important problems:

1. Let events An increase to A. Find A and show P(An ) -> P(A). Show the same thing in the decreasing case. Use these results to show that a df F is right continuous, F(oo)=1, F(-oo)=0.
2. Let X be exponential(2). Calculate the df, mgf and variance. Sketch the df.
3. Let X have pdf f(x)=c/x2 , x>1 and is 0 otherwise. Find c. Calculate the first 2 moments.
4. Let X be standard exponential. Show P(X>s+t)=P(X>t|X>s), for all s,t>0. This is the ageless or memoryless property. Show this also holds for the geometric(p) if we require s,t to be positive integers.





pmcd- Sept 7, 2013